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The problem is that the badly trailing Goni is a familiar product. Albeit a reformer, he has the problem of running for president of a country—the poorest in South America—where half the electorate hates him, viewing him as an arrogant oligarch who speaks Spanish with an American accent. He faces two main rival candidates: the Quechua-speaking cocalero Evo Morales (whom Rosner dismisses as a populist thug); and multimillionaire Manfred Reyes Villa, mayor of Bolivia's third largest city. GCS goes negative on the latter, with ads assailing his mansions and military connections.
As impoverished, colorful, and remote as Bolivia is—and as obvious as the conflict between the indigenous masses and the Spanish elite may be—GCS strategy brings our own brand of democracy into bold relief. The beleaguered Reyes Villa goes strategically anti-American; Goni stays on message and lets the negative ads do their work. Although the election results are a foregone conclusion, the campaign turns into a horse race.
From the perspective of 2006, it's obvious that Morales—elected Bolivia's first Indian president in 2005—was the real winner. Goni's store-bought plurality was scarcely a mandate, and after he raised taxes six months later, there were riots in the streets of La Paz. He was later forced to resign, and moved to Washington, D.C., where Rosner admits to Boynton that he and his colleagues had an insufficient grasp of Bolivian history. See this movie, however, and you'll get some idea of the conditions that brought Morales to power. J. HOBERMAN